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He earned it
A tribute to the mathematician who predicted the outcome of all 50 states correctly in 2012. Nate Silver, of http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Nate Silver is my statistician; I shall not fret.
He maketh me to lie down in blue states:
He leadeth me beside the bicoastal urban elites.
He restoreth my faith in the electoral college:
He leadeth me in the path of accuracy for his name brand’s sake.
No post from our assigned faculty member, so how about this reblog for fun.
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It’s really amazing what an effective grasp on statistics can accomplish. Definitely an admirable feat.
He’s a witch! [http://isnatesilverawitch.com/]
I read about this guy in Sports Illustrated a couple of weeks ago, he’s remarkable. Called 49 out of 50 states in 2008, and 50 out of 50 states in 2012, now how can he improve? He can’t, politics are too easy for this man, he should help me with my fantasy baseball team next year instead!
JD,
Silver started out doing baseball. He is one of the developers of the PECOTA system at Baseball Prospectus.
Everybody remember what Jesus said.
It’s not surprising Nate silver was right. He’s been pretty consistent with being correct during the last few elections.
Interesting blog. Sorry but I have never followed Nate Silver.
I repeat: He’s a witch! [http://isnatesilverawitch.com/]
Its so interesting how statistics can be so beneficial to political science and even more so, the elections. Its crazy how accurate he is, theres no wonder why he is such a well known and reputable source. I know that in four years I’m gonna be looking to him to project the electoral votes once again, it’ll be cool to see him prove himself over and over.
This is really interesting considering I have never heard of Nate Silver. It’s shocking to me that someone could call 49 out of 50 states and now being able to call all 50 states just by analyzing data, it really is remarkable.
Okay, If you throw Nate Silver in water he will float so I guess he is a witch (see http://youtu.be/zrzMhU_4m-g for the logic underlying that claim). The point is that paying careful attention to real information makes it harder to be betrayed by our hopes and expectations, what psychologists call motivated bias. HIs model probably won’t always perform so well, but maybe his work and the work at Princeton Election Consortium and other places will encourage the pundit classes to offer fewer predictions and more interpretations about what is the larger significance of the choice in an election.
Wait, that logic is silly. Maybe he’s not a witch.
I just wonder how long it will be before the parties try to pull him in as a campaign consultant!
Wow! This is crazy. It is really amazing how accurate he is on statistics and how helpful it can be to political science. I have never heard of him, but am extremely impressed.
Oh gosh! I find it so interesting that just statistics can show so much accuracy. Nate Silver is completely new to me but he is definitely impressive considering the fact that he was so consistent and right on point to predict all of that just by analyzing! Mind blown!
Thats very impressive how accurately and good he is at statistics. I’ve never heard of Nate silver nor have I followed up on such a subject but seeing this today really caught my attention.